Non-space weather prediction and notification system and method

Details Non-space weather prediction and notification system and method Non-space weather prediction and notification system and method

2006-09-05

2006-09-05

McElheny, Jr., Donald (Department: 2857)

Data processing: measuring, calibrating, or testing

Measurement system in a specific environment

Earth science

Reexamination Certificate

active

07103480

ABSTRACT:
A system and method of forecasting space weather (at Earth or another location) based on identifying complex patterns in solar, interplanetary, or geophysical data. These data may include current or historical measurements and/or modeled data (predicted or simulated). Data patterns (both non-event and event-related) are identified (even when another event is occurring). Such patterns may vary with recent/cyclic variations in solar (e.g. solar max/min), interplanetary, or geophysical activity. Embodiments are built around: (1) templates, (2) expert systems, (3) neural networks, (4) hybrid systems comprising combinations of (1), (2) and/or (3), and multimodal intelligent systems. Forecasts are customized and/or updated as new data arise and as systems are dynamically modified (e.g. via feedback between system parts). Numerical or other indexes are generated representing: forecasts, associated confidence levels, etc. The invention predicts events
on-events and/or other values or parameters associated with space weather (e.g. Dst, event onset time, duration, etc.).

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