Tire market forecasting method

Details Tire market forecasting method Tire market forecasting method

2006-07-13

2010-11-02

Jeanty, Romain (Department: 3624)

Data processing: financial, business practice, management, or co

Automated electrical financial or business practice or...

Discount or incentive

C705S007380

Reexamination Certificate

active

07827053

ABSTRACT:
A method for tire market forecasting combines three sub-methods in order to forecast unit volumes for every tire size in the industry or market segment. The method includes deriving a full trend by a first sub-method M1for a first tire size TS1based upon a relationship between OE and replacement markets for size TS1;deriving a full trend by a second sub-method M2for size TS1based on an estimated vehicle fleet for size TS1;and comparing the first and second full trends to derive a regular forecast. When a tire size does not follow a predictable pattern according to OE assumptions, a full trend is derived by a third sub-method M3based on an historic replacement market trend adjusted as needed by statistical tools. A vitality calculation may be made calculating present and future vitality V on a market segment or on a selected tire line, and a vitality goal VG may be established whereupon a strategy may be derived identifying tire sizes required and not required to achieve and maintain the goal over time.

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Translation of JP2005251108 to Yoshioka et al.

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