Method and apparatus for managing at least part of a...

Multiplex communications – Data flow congestion prevention or control – Control of data admission to the network

Reexamination Certificate

Rate now

  [ 0.00 ] – not rated yet Voters 0   Comments 0

Details

C370S235000, C370S252000, C382S156000, C706S021000

Reexamination Certificate

active

06272110

ABSTRACT:

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION
1. Field of the Invention
This invention relates to a method and apparatus for managing at least part of a communications network and particularly for managing a customer network.
2. Description of the Prior art
Customers who make extensive use of a service provider's network are often provided with a “virtual private network”. This enables them to control part of the service provider's network under an agreement such as a “service level agreement”. The service level agreement typically specifies the bandwidth levels that the customer is allowed to use and other factors such as quality factors. If this bandwidth level is exceeded at any time by the customer, data can effectively be “discarded”. However, it is very difficult for the customer to predict bandwidth requirements in advance in order to negotiate for a larger bandwidth when this is required. Also, if the service provider allows the agreed bandwidth level to be exceeded by allocating additional resources then penalty payments may be invoked.
If the agreed bandwidth level is exceeded by the customer there is also a problem for the service provider. The service provider has to decide whether to allocate extra resources to the customer and determine whether this is possible and how it can be achieved. Once the decision is made it needs to be implemented. This involves analysis of the communications network to see what bandwidth is available. These decisions are complex because they depend on many factors, such as costs, effects on other customer's allocated resources, and the possibility of charging the customer more for the extra bandwidth to be allocated.
Because different customers have different priorities and requirements it is difficult to develop a generic method of managing a customer network. Also, the customer himself requires to use the method of managing his network and so the method must be simple and easy to use.
It is accordingly an object of the present invention to provide a method and apparatus for managing at least part of a communications network and particularly for managing a customer network which overcomes or at least mitigates one or more of the problems noted above.
SUMMARY OF INVENTION
According to a first aspect of the present invention there is provided a method of managing at least part of a communications network comprising the steps of:
(i) predicting a plurality of sequential future values of a time series of data relating to the communications network; and
(ii) comparing each future value with at least one threshold value to produce a result.
A corresponding computer system for managing a communications network comprises:
(i) a predictor arranged to predict a plurality of sequential future values of a time series of data relating to the communications network; and
ii) a comparator arranged to compare each future value with at least one threshold value to produce a result.
A corresponding communications network comprises:
(i) a computer system for managing at least part of the communications network; said computer system comprising:
(ii) a predictor arranged to predict a plurality of sequential future values of a time series of data relating to the communications network; and
(iii) a comparator arranged to compare each future value with at least one threshold value to produce a result.
This provides the advantage that future values of for example, data, video or voice traffic levels in a customer's virtual private network, can be predicted and it can be determined whether these exceed the bandwidth levels agreed (for example, in the service level agreement). The customer is then able to take action in advance of the agreed levels being exceeded. For example, this could involve preventing over use of the communications network or asking the service provider for more resources. Also the service provider has an advantage in that he knows in advance that the agreed levels may be exceeded and he can analyse the network in advance to see if extra bandwidth can be allocated. The service provider could then make an offer to sell extra bandwidth to the customer. Equally, if the agreed bandwidth levels will be under-utilised by the customer then both parties can make use of this information in a similar way.
Preferably, said communications network comprises at least two agents, each agent comprising a computer system provided with at least one communication link to another agent, said computer system being arranged to accept the results of the comparison and further comprising information about the threshold value, a set of criteria and a set of actions. It is also preferred that the method further comprises the steps of:
(i) using the agents to determine a second threshold value on the basis of the result of the comparison, the first threshold value and each agent's set of criteria and set of actions; and
(ii) replacing the first threshold value by the second threshold value. This provides the advantage that the results of the prediction can be used by the agents to renegotiate resources, for example via the service level agreement, on behalf of the customer and the service provider. This simplifies the customer's network management task and enables him to make efficient and cost effective use of his virtual private network. The customer obtains predicted values for his bandwidth levels, for example, and this information is used automatically by his agent on his behalf to renegotiate the service level agreement. Also, the service provider's network management task is simplified and he is able to make efficient and cost effective use of his communications network resources. The same method can be used by different types of customer who have different requirements and priorities by adjusting the set of actions and criteria in the customer's agent. Similarly, the service provider's agent can be modified.


REFERENCES:
patent: 5812526 (1998-09-01), Chang et al.
patent: 6078946 (2000-06-01), Johnson
patent: 6178505 (2001-01-01), Schneider et al.
Hiramatsu, “Training Techniques for Neural Network Application in ATM”, IEEE, 58-67, Oct. 1995.*
Hiramatsu, “ATM call admission control using a neural network trained with a virtual output buffer method”, IEEE, 3611-3616, Dec. 1996.*
G Dorffner “Neural Networks for Time Series Processing”, IDG 1996.
S Chong, S. Li and J. Ghosh, “Predictive Dynamic Bandwidth Allocation for Efficient Transport of Real-Time VBR Video over ATM”, IEEE Journal on Selected areas on communications vol. 13 No. 1 Jan. 1995.
Z Fan and P. Mars “ATM traffic prediction using FIR neural networks”, School of Engineering, University of Durham, UK.
F. Takens “Detecting strange attractors in turbulence” Comm. Math. Phys. (1971) vol 20 pp. 167-192.
Ricardo Mane “On the dimension of the compact invariant sets of certain non-linear maps”, prepring IMPA, Rio de Janeiro 1980.
Ricard Rohwer “The time dimersion of neural network models” SIGART Bulletin, vol. 5, No. 3.
J-C Chappelier and A. Grumbach “Time in Neural Networks” SIGART Bulletin, vol. 5, No. 3.
Zaiyong Tang, Chrys de Almeida and Paul A Fishwick “Time series forecasting using neural networks vs. Box-Jenkins methodology” Nov. 1991 Simulation pp. 313-310.
Eric A Wan “Time Series Prediction by using a connectionist network with internal delay lines” In Time Series Prediction. Forecasting the future and understanding the past, Eds A Weigend and N.Gershenfeld, SFI Studies in the Sciences of Complexity, Proc. Vol. XVII, Addison-Wesley, 1994.

LandOfFree

Say what you really think

Search LandOfFree.com for the USA inventors and patents. Rate them and share your experience with other people.

Rating

Method and apparatus for managing at least part of a... does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this patent.

If you have personal experience with Method and apparatus for managing at least part of a..., we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Method and apparatus for managing at least part of a... will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

     

Profile ID: LFUS-PAI-O-2492764

  Search
All data on this website is collected from public sources. Our data reflects the most accurate information available at the time of publication.