Bayesian sequential indicator simulation of lithology from seism

Communications – electrical: acoustic wave systems and devices – Seismic prospecting – Land-reflection type

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367 30, 364421, 382168, G01V 140, G01V 134, G06K 968

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054167507

ABSTRACT:
A discretized lithologic model of the subsurface is defined by a regular array of pixels. Each pixel corresponds to one of a finite number of possible lithoclasses such as sand, shale or dolomite. The lithoclasses are unknown except at a small number of sparsely distributed control pixels associated with borehole locations. Associated with each pixel there is a multivariate record of seismic attributes that may be statistically correlatable with the local lithology. A Monte Carlo method is used to simulate the lithoclass spatial distribution by combining the lithologic data at control pixels with the seismic-attribute data records. Using Indicator Kriging, a prior probability distribution of the lithoclasses is calculated for each pixel from the lithology values at neighboring pixels. The likelihood of each lithoclass is also calculated in each pixel from the corresponding conditional probability distribution of seismic attributes. A posterior lithoclass probability distribution is obtained at each pixel by multiplying the prior distribution and the likelihood function. The posterior distributions are sampled pixel-by-pixel to generate equally probable models of the subsurface lithology.

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