"Artificial Intelligence" based learning system predicting "Peak

Elevator – industrial lift truck – or stationary lift for vehicle – Stationary lift for roadway vehicle or required component... – Having specific drive means for support

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B66B 120

Patent

active

050353020

ABSTRACT:
The present invention is directed to an elevator dispatching system for controlling the assignment of elevator cars. More particularly, the present invention is directed to a method of determining the commencement and/or conclusion of UP-PEAK and DOWN-PEAK periods of operation. For example, for commencing UP-PEAK operation, a lobby boarding count is predicted, based on historical information of the number of passengers boarding the elevators at the lobby. The predicted lobby boarding count is compared with a predetermined threshold value. If the predicted lobby boarding count is greater than the predetermined threshold value, UP-PEAK is commenced. In the preferred embodiment, the predetermined threshold value is a predetermined percentage of the building's population. Additionally, the present invention is directed to a method of adjusting the threshold value based on actual passenger traffic. For example, once UP-PEAK is commenced, the load of the first few elevators leaving the lobby within a predetermined time interval is determined, and the threshold value is adjusted based on their determined load. If the determined load is greater than a certain percentage of the elevator car's capacity, indicative of starting UP-PEAK too late, the threshold value is decreased. Similarly, if the determined load is less than a certain percentage of the elevator car's capacity, indicative of starting UP-PEAK too soon, the threshold value is increased.

REFERENCES:
patent: 4303851 (1981-12-01), Mottier
patent: 4305479 (1981-12-01), Bittar et al.
patent: 4330836 (1982-05-01), Donofrio et al.
patent: 4363381 (1982-12-01), Bittar
patent: 4553639 (1985-11-01), Uetani
patent: 4691808 (1987-09-01), Nowak et al.
patent: 4804069 (1989-02-01), Bittar et al.
patent: 4815568 (1989-03-01), Bittar
patent: 4838384 (1989-06-01), Thangavelu
patent: 4846311 (1989-07-01), Thangavelu
Forecasting Methods and Applications, Spyros Makridakis & Steven C. Wheelwright (John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1978) Section 3.3: Single Exponential Smoothing and Section 3.6: "Linear Exponential Smoothing".
Intelligent Elevator Dispatching System by N. Kameli & K. Thangavelu, AI Expert, Sep. 1989; pp. 32-37.

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